AP/ Honors U.S. Government and Politics

Public Opinion Polling Webquest

Answer the following questions(1 point each):

1. What is the respective site's Electoral College projection? List Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, and Tossup/Undecided/ Battleground amounts.

2. What states were considered tossups/ too close to call/ battleground states?(Note: Not every site will have this data.)

Use these 5 websites to answer questions 1 and 2:

Real Clear Politics
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/swing-state/

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

At the fivethirtyeight blog site also answer question 3: 

3. What is the national popular vote projection (in percentage terms)? 

PollingReport.com specific questions

Use the following website to answer questions 4-9:

http://www.pollingreport.com/2012.htm

4.  What is Romney's biggest lead in the Gallup daily tracking poll (among registered or likely voters) and when did this occur? Be sure to click on the "Gallup daily tracking" link on the page to find the tracking poll results.

5.  What is Obama's biggest lead in the Gallup daily tracking poll (among registered or likely voters) and when did this occur? Be sure to click on the "Gallup daily tracking" link on the page to find the tracking poll results.

6.  What is Romney's biggest lead in the Polling Report.com "General Election trial heat/major polls and when did this occur? What polling organization conducted this poll?

7.  What is Obama's biggest lead in the Polling Report.com "General Election trial heat/major polls" and when did this occur? What polling organization conducted this poll?

8. Pick 3 recent polls and list:

1. Results of the poll

2. Number of voters in the survey (N)

3. Margin of error

4. Registered or likely voters

5. Tracking or non-tracking poll

Poll #1:

Poll #2:

Poll #3:

For Question #9 use the following site:

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2012presidentindividual

9. What is the likelihood of victory for Obama and Romney that Predictwise, Betfair, Intrade, and the Iowa Electronics Market (IEM) each have?

10. What problems might be inherent in polls for the 2012 presidential election?

2008 Presidential Election- To answer questions 11-14 go to this site:

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/

Note: Consider Washington, D.C. as a state for the purposes of answering these questions.

11. What were the ACTUAL electoral AND popular vote totals for the nation as a whole?

12. What 3 states were the strongest for McCain and what percentage of the vote did he win in each of these states (use the map or click on the "Election 2008 Statistics" link below the map)?

13. What 3 states were the strongest for Obama and what percentage of the vote did he win in each of these states (use the map or click on the "Election 2008 Statistics" link below the map)?

14. What 3 states were the closest, what was the margin of victory in each, and which candidate won them (Click on the "Election 2008 Statistics" link below the map)?